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Maven Simulation Analysis
This is a simulation analysis prepared by pams v.2.004 (poslfit's analyser of
Maven simulations), a Perl script that runs on Macintosh, Unix, DOS and other
platforms and analyses logs generated by Brian Sheppard's Maven program.
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A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O
1 = . . ' . . . = . . . ' . . =
2 . - . . . " . . . " . . . - .
3 . . - . . . ' . ' . . . - . .
4 ' . . - . . . ' . . . - . . '
5 . . . . - . . . . . - . . . .
6 . " . . . " . . . " . . . " .
7 . . ' . . . ' . ' . . . ' . .
8 = . . ' . . . - . . . ' . . =
9 . . ' . . . ' . ' . . . ' . .
10 . " . . . " . . . " . . . " .
11 . . . . - . . . . . - . . . .
12 ' . . - . . . ' . . . - . . '
13 . . - . . . ' . ' . . . - . .
14 . - . . . " . . . " . . . - .
15 = . . ' . . . = . . . ' . . =
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- Player Rack: eeggrss
- Opponent Rack:(no restrictions)
- Score: 0 0
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egg 8G egg 8H egg 8F eggs 8F eggers 8C egger 8H -gge -sgge
Iterations: 27830 27830 27830 27830 27830 27830 27830 27830
MyScore[0]: 10.00 10.00 10.00 12.00 20.00 16.00 0.00 0.00
OppScore[1]: 28.63 28.05 26.80 29.07 35.83 32.76 28.64 28.64
95% +- 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.29 0.28 0.23 0.23
0lp%: 3.54 3.44 3.64 2.88 1.61 2.04 5.57 5.57
1lp%: 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
2lp%: 3.90 9.95 4.81 4.30 6.83 4.05 0.20 0.20
3lp%: 20.08 8.84 10.48 11.52 9.67 5.42 8.40 8.40
4lp%: 19.66 24.53 28.81 23.93 18.51 21.02 18.25 18.25
5lp%: 27.26 23.37 26.16 27.27 25.43 26.35 39.09 39.09
6lp%: 10.04 14.59 12.20 12.15 17.48 22.62 17.03 17.03
7lp%: 15.51 15.27 13.88 17.93 20.47 18.50 11.45 11.45
MyScore[1]: 54.37 53.76 53.24 52.08 44.64 42.92 54.33 53.19
95% +- 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.31 0.30 0.28 0.30 0.32
0lp%: 0.09 0.07 0.09 0.31 0.65 0.26 0.11 0.24
1lp%: 0.08 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.03 0.06 0.01 0.01
2lp%: 1.10 1.05 0.95 2.55 6.50 2.46 0.89 2.16
3lp%: 5.22 4.05 3.68 7.80 15.70 10.58 4.50 7.77
4lp%: 12.86 13.36 14.79 16.41 20.58 26.94 10.91 12.48
5lp%: 18.24 18.84 17.27 15.60 16.55 19.32 15.18 14.03
6lp%: 8.14 7.65 8.33 8.17 8.91 9.44 9.99 9.41
7lp%: 54.27 54.94 54.87 49.11 31.08 30.93 58.41 53.91
OppScore[2]: 39.11 38.60 39.01 39.32 39.72 38.35 38.75 38.79
95% +- 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.25 0.27 0.27
0lp%: 0.99 0.96 1.07 1.01 1.02 1.12 0.97 1.06
1lp%: 0.08 0.05 0.02 0.04 0.08 0.05 0.03 0.04
2lp%: 2.88 3.72 3.21 3.51 5.93 5.34 3.48 3.67
3lp%: 14.56 14.73 14.69 14.71 16.48 16.81 14.15 14.57
4lp%: 28.64 29.70 30.19 29.39 25.78 28.52 27.67 27.60
5lp%: 22.98 22.23 22.62 23.10 21.10 21.11 21.64 21.42
6lp%: 9.96 9.24 9.18 8.67 10.33 8.00 10.60 10.38
7lp%: 19.90 19.37 19.04 19.57 19.28 19.05 21.47 21.26
MyScore[2]: 41.63 41.23 40.77 41.40 41.49 41.73 40.80 41.44
95% +- 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27
0lp%: 0.89 0.87 1.03 0.90 0.85 0.86 0.80 0.83
1lp%: 0.08 0.08 0.05 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.07 0.07
2lp%: 3.79 4.41 4.04 4.21 6.52 5.82 4.05 4.04
3lp%: 16.14 16.30 16.45 15.64 17.78 17.15 15.56 14.95
4lp%: 27.38 27.15 27.81 27.18 25.40 26.30 27.01 25.95
5lp%: 20.83 20.44 20.72 20.99 19.07 18.93 20.87 21.13
6lp%: 7.63 7.81 7.75 8.21 8.46 7.46 8.45 9.19
7lp%: 23.26 22.94 22.15 22.76 21.81 23.35 23.18 23.84
ResidualEq: 0.34 0.17 0.27 -0.13 0.97 1.11 0.06 -0.22
95% +- 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.13
NetEquity: 38.59 38.52 38.47 36.96 31.55 30.66 27.80 26.98
95% +- 0.49 0.50 0.48 0.50 0.53 0.50 0.48 0.49
Legend:
- Iterations
- number of analysed simulation runs (involving this choice)
- MyScore[n]
- average number of points you score on your nth turn
- OppScore[n]
- average number of points opponent scores on his/her nth turn
- 95% +-
- 95% confidence margin for preceding figure
- 0lp%, etc.
- percentage of runs where 0, 1, 2, ..., 7 tiles get played
- ResidualEq
- equity unaccounted for by raw scores (final rack leave, etc.)
- NetEquity
- equity as reported by Maven
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